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Bitcoin Tactical Sentiment Indicator Plunges into Extreme Bearish Territory, Facing a 'Final Flush'

BroadChainBroadChain04/07/2026, 10:29 PM
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Summary

The Bitcoin tactical sentiment indicator has plunged into extreme bearish territory; historical data shows such lows are often accompanied by a sharp 'final flush' decline, followed by a rebound. Analysts warn BTC could face a ~$15,000 drop over the next five months, with key support seen between $50,000–$55,000. However, recent large-scale BTC buying has absorbed some selling pressure, potentially limiting downside.

BroadChain has learned from Cointelegraph that on April 7, cryptocurrency market analyst Wedson noted Bitcoin's 720-day tactical bull-bear sentiment index has plunged into extreme bearish territory, suggesting long-term market fear may be approaching its end.

Historically, such low readings on this indicator have often aligned with a "final washout" phase, after which Bitcoin typically enters a more sustained recovery. For instance, when the indicator hit similar lows in 2022, Bitcoin fell over 20%; in 2018, it declined roughly 50% under comparable conditions.

Wedson cautioned that Bitcoin could see a sharp drop of around $15,000 over the next five months, implying a potential fall from current levels to near $54,000—placing the $50,000–$55,000 range as a critical support zone for BTC.

However, recent large-scale Bitcoin accumulation by strategic buyers has absorbed some selling pressure, which may help curb downside risks and reduce the likelihood of the extreme bearish scenario playing out in full.