Tag: 預測市場

AB Network, a partner of the Trump family's crypto project WLFI, has been exposed for its Timor-Leste blockchain resort project involving three sanctioned individuals linked to the Cambodian fraud syndicate Prince Group. AB Network's majority shareholder, Yang Jian, has also been sanctioned. WLFI stated it conducted due diligence on AB and denies knowledge of these connections. Currently, USD1's circulating supply is approximately $3.6 million, with around 3,000 holders.

BlackRock's Ethereum staking ETF ETHB charges an 18% fee on staking rewards, triggering industry discussion on the reasonableness of the fee level. This fee covers custody, risk, and operational costs, and is currently lower than the highest fees charged for direct retail staking. Industry opinions are divided: some believe the fee is acceptable for institutional products—and may shrink over time—while others worry excessive competition could compromise security and transparency, and question whether such high fees are justified.

A JPMorgan report notes that Q1 2026 crypto market inflows were primarily driven by Bitcoin purchases from Strategy and a handful of large venture capital deals, while retail and institutional inflows remained weak. The broader market declined ~20% during the quarter, with Bitcoin down 23%, driven by macroeconomic and geopolitical pressures prompting sell-offs. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows for the quarter, though showed signs of recovery in March. Corporate holders remained relatively conservative, and miners were net sellers. Venture capital funding continued flowing into infrastructure, stablecoins, and other sectors.

Blockstream CEO Adam Back stated that quantum computers pose a long-term challenge to BTC, but the industry must act immediately. He recommends reserving approximately a ten-year window for BTC holders to migrate their keys to quantum-resistant formats. Related research has already entered the implementation phase, with the Liquid network serving as a testbed; the industry must coordinate an orderly migration before risks intensify.

In his autobiography, Changpeng Zhao disclosed that after OKX founder Xu Mingxing was placed under 'soft detention' by police for five weeks in 2020 and subsequently released, Huobi founder Li Lin and others were arrested. Li Lin, detained for 90 days, decided to exit the industry and sold Huobi to Sun Yuchen. Zhao stated that Li Lin later learned Xu Mingxing had reported him to the authorities, leading to his arrest.

On April 7, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a single-day net outflow of $64.67 million, led by Fidelity’s FETH with a net outflow of $48.21 million, followed by BlackRock’s ETHA with a net outflow of $16.46 million. The total assets under management (AUM) of Ethereum spot ETFs currently stand at approximately $11.98 billion, with a cumulative net inflow of $11.54 billion since launch.

On April 7, U.S. bitcoin spot ETFs collectively recorded a net outflow of $159 million. Fidelity’s FBTC led with a single-day net outflow of approximately $47.85 million—the largest among all products—while Valkyrie’s BRRR posted a modest net inflow. The total assets under management (AUM) for these ETFs currently stand at around $88.7 billion, with cumulative net inflows exceeding $56.2 billion to date.

The U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is soliciting public comments on a draft regulatory framework governing stablecoin issuance by banks and their fintech subsidiaries. The draft clarifies that tokenized deposits remain classified as deposits and addresses key regulatory elements including reserve assets, redemption mechanisms, and capital requirements. This initiative is one of the supporting rulemakings aligned with the GENIUS Act.

Trump family crypto project World Liberty Financial is facing renewed regulatory scrutiny after its partner AB DAO promoted a project linked to Cambodia's sanctioned Prince Group. Although the project claims to have conducted due diligence, the association continues to draw regulatory attention.

A new Charles Schwab study shows that allocating just 1%–3% of a portfolio to Bitcoin or Ethereum can significantly shift its overall risk profile. Although crypto assets are highly volatile, even small allocations can exert a noticeable impact during market turbulence. The report advises investors to allocate cautiously based on their risk tolerance and remain mindful of liquidity, fraud, and related risks.

The Bitcoin tactical sentiment indicator has plunged into extreme bearish territory; historical data shows such lows are often accompanied by a sharp 'final flush' decline, followed by a rebound. Analysts warn BTC could face a ~$15,000 drop over the next five months, with key support seen between $50,000–$55,000. However, recent large-scale BTC buying has absorbed some selling pressure, potentially limiting downside.

Bitcoin has turned negatively correlated with the Global Central Bank Easing Index, indicating institutional capital is front-running an upcoming monetary policy shift. Bitcoin spot ETFs have recently recorded significant net inflows, suggesting institutions may view current price levels as an attractive entry point. However, the broader market remains range-bound, corporate demand remains weak, options market volatility is rising, and traders are increasing downside protection.